1.Tracking Change Over Time: Ensuring Comparability
Kinnon Scott
DECPI
More Frequent, More Timely and More Comparable Data for Better Results, PREM Week, April 20, 2011
2.The consequences of not focusing on comparability
Misallocation of resources
4.The consequences of not focusing on comparability
Misallocation of resources
Loss of Credibility
Effort to move to empirically based policy making
Undermines all data (whole survey or NSO)
5.Comparability
Across countries
Income vs. consumption
PPPs
Education levels
Within country at one point in time
Spatial cost of living adjustments
Seasonality (Afghan for example)
Within country over time
6.It’s not rocket science
Ask the same question
Verbatim
Categories
Change with the changing world
Reference periods
Matters in consumption: collapsing, memory, etc. (Deaton and Grosh, 2000 for overview)
Same time in the year- “Monga” Bangladesh
Fixed reference period in moving survey: Uzbek education
Respondent
Random adult lack of knowledge (Cull and Scott, 2010; Bardasi et al, 2010)
Head of hhlds attitude
Aggregation
More aggregation, lower level, memory issue
7.
Use verbatim questions
8.CWIQ 2003
DHS 2003
CENSUS 2000
GLSS 1998
Measuring access to improved water sources in Ghana
Use questions from previous surveys
Examples taken from ADP, Neil Fantom, DECDG
9.Affects the trends in indicators: Nigeria
10.Uzbekistan-Reference Periods
11.Field Work
Interviewers, supervisors, data entry staff (and tools) all affect data collection
Quality control
Training 2-3 days versus 2-3 weeks
Supervision Administrative vs substantive
Data entry
Ex Post
Concurrent data entry (Glewwe and Dang, 2008)
CAPI (SERPro, 2003; Caeyers, Chalmers and De Weerdt, 2010)
12.Peru
2001-2004 Poverty numbers questioned
Did an in-depth review of method of
Questionnaire design
Unit non-response
Item non-response
Imputations
Non-sampling errors
One of the key issue was decline in supervision and data quality controls in the field
Changes in survey quality changed poverty levels!
13.How to improve questions?
Add new questions without dropping old
Overlap with new versions-Income Colombia
Experiment with new questions in parallel
Within existing survey (Brazil POF)
At pilot phase (Niger)
Ex post (Malawi)
14.Summary
Comparability needs to be major focus
Can be affected by all stages of the survey (questionnaire design through field work through imputations for non-response)
Test all changes and overlap series
Check for comparability when using existing data sets