2.Warm-up
You are wanting to find the average number of siblings a student at Iowa State has. Instead of taking a census, you decide to obtain a sample and use that sample to estimate the true average.
Voluntary Response
Convenience Sample
Systematic Sample
3.Conditions
You have a simple random sample
Sample size is large
np < 10
n(1-p) < 10
^
^
4.Confidence interval
5.Confidence interval
^
6. 𝑋 - 𝑡 𝛼 2 (𝑠𝑒( 𝑋 )) to 𝑋 + 𝑡 𝛼 2 (𝑠𝑒( 𝑋 ))
7.A package of light bulbs promises an average life of more than 750 hours per bulb. A consumer group did not believe the claim and tested a sample of 40 bulbs. The average lifetime of these 40 bulbs was 740 hours with s=30 hours.
Find the consumers groups 95% confidence interval
Based on this, what conclusions would you make about the promise of 750 hours.
If the manufacturer follows the same estimate of s, what is their 95% confidence interval
Based on this, what might their response be if the consumer group complains they lie.
8.Create a generic sentence that can apply to any confidence interval in any situation. (Leave blanks where you would specify when given context)
9.Interpret
I am 95% confident that the mean _______ lies between _____ and _____.
95% of the confidence intervals made this way would contain the true population mean
10.A catalog sales company promises to deliver orders placed on the Internet within 3 days. Follow-up calls to randomly selected customers show that a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all orders that arrive on time is 88% +/- 6%. What does this mean? Which of these are correct
Between 82% and 94% of all orders arrive on time
95% of all random samples of customers will show that 88% of orders arrived on time
95% of all random samples of customers will show that 82% to 94% of orders arrived on time.
We are 95% sure that between 82% and 94% of the orders placed by the customers in this sample arrived on time
On a randomly chosen day, we can be 95% confident that between 82% and 94% of the large volume of orders will arrive on time
11.A catalog sales company promises to deliver orders placed on the Internet within 3 days. Follow-up calls to randomly selected customers show that a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all orders that arrive on time is 88% +/- 6%. What does this mean? Which of these are correct
Between 82% and 94% of all orders arrive on time
95% of all random samples of customers will show that 88% of orders arrived on time
95% of all random samples of customers will show that 82% to 94% of orders arrived on time.
We are 95% sure that between 82% and 94% of the orders placed by the customers in this sample arrived on time
On a randomly chosen day, we can be 95% confident that between 82% and 94% of the large volume of orders will arrive on time